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Regionalliga - Nord · Germany

Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.38Market probability 65%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Weiche Flensburg host VfB Oldenburg in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — VfB Oldenburg to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Weiche Flensburg 3–2 VfB Oldenburg.

Going into the match, Weiche Flensburg had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 11. VfB Oldenburg had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Weiche Flensburg's last 10 and 7 of VfB Oldenburg's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Weiche Flensburg averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home VfB Oldenburg averaged 2.60 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Weiche Flensburg and 1.63 from VfB Oldenburg. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 23%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Weiche Flensburg (green) and VfB Oldenburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack48% – 52%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head40% – 60%
Goals39% – 61%
Overall strength47% – 53%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Weiche FlensburgWLLWW3.201.1070%90%
VfB OldenburgLWWLW3.101.4070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS Yes70%1.31
BTTS 1st Half - No67%1.37
Double Chance X265%1.38
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals52%1.80
VfB Oldenburg Win40%2.28
VfB Oldenburg HT & FT27%3.48
Draw25%3.65

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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