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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Wda Świecie vs Polonia Środa prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wda Świecie host Polonia Środa in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wda Świecie 0–4 Polonia Środa.
Going into the match, Wda Świecie had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Polonia Środa had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Wda Świecie's last 10 and 8 of Polonia Środa's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wda Świecie averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Polonia Środa averaged 1.73 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Wda Świecie and 2.28 from Polonia Środa. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 54%, against 28%, 24% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wda Świecie (green) and Polonia Środa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | LDWWW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 90% | 50% |
| Polonia Środa | DDWDW | 2.90 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 May 2026 · Wda Świecie 3–2 Polonia Środa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Polonia Środa Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.