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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warta Gorzów host Polonia Nysa in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warta Gorzów 0–1 Polonia Nysa.
Going into the match, Warta Gorzów had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Polonia Nysa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Warta Gorzów's last 10 and 7 of Polonia Nysa's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warta Gorzów averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Polonia Nysa averaged 1.17 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Warta Gorzów and 1.04 from Polonia Nysa. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 53%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Warta Gorzów (green) and Polonia Nysa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | DDLWD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
| Polonia Nysa | LWLLL | 1.20 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Warta Gorzów 1–0 Polonia Nysa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Warta Gorzów Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.38 |
| Warta Gorzów HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.