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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Warrington Town vs Lancaster City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warrington Town host Lancaster City in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warrington Town 2–2 Lancaster City.
Going into the match, Warrington Town had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Lancaster City had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Warrington Town's last 10 and 6 of Lancaster City's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warrington Town averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lancaster City averaged 1.40 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Warrington Town and 1.28 from Lancaster City. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 45%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Warrington Town (green) and Lancaster City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Town | DLDWL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 60% | 90% |
| Lancaster City | LWWLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Warrington Town Win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Warrington Town HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.