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Championship · Northern Ireland
Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warrenpoint Town host Strabane Athletic in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warrenpoint Town 1–0 Strabane Athletic.
Going into the match, Warrenpoint Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Strabane Athletic had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Warrenpoint Town's last 10 and 6 of Strabane Athletic's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warrenpoint Town averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Strabane Athletic averaged 0.90 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Warrenpoint Town and 1.02 from Strabane Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Warrenpoint Town (green) and Strabane Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | DWLWL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Strabane Athletic | DWDDL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Warrenpoint Town Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.