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League Cup · Northern Ireland
Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warrenpoint Town host Crusaders FC in the League Cup (Northern Ireland) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warrenpoint Town 2–2 Crusaders FC.
Going into the match, Warrenpoint Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Crusaders FC had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Warrenpoint Town's last 10 and 6 of Crusaders FC's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warrenpoint Town averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Crusaders FC averaged 1.20 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Warrenpoint Town and 1.95 from Crusaders FC. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Warrenpoint Town (green) and Crusaders FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | DWDWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Crusaders FC | LLLWL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Crusaders FC 2–0 Warrenpoint Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Crusaders FC Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.