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Primera División · Uruguay
Wanderers vs Boston River prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wanderers host Boston River in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wanderers 1–3 Boston River.
Going into the match, Wanderers had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Boston River had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wanderers's last 10 and 6 of Boston River's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wanderers averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Boston River averaged 0.75 scored and 1.88 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Wanderers and 1.26 from Boston River. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 40%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wanderers (green) and Boston River (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | DWWLD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Boston River | DLWLL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.