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Primera Division · Nicaragua
Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Walter Ferretti host Real Estelí in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Walter Ferretti 3–1 Real Estelí.
Going into the match, Walter Ferretti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Real Estelí had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Walter Ferretti's last 10 and 4 of Real Estelí's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Walter Ferretti averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Real Estelí averaged 1.46 scored and 0.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Walter Ferretti and 1.93 from Real Estelí. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 51%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Walter Ferretti (green) and Real Estelí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Ferretti | WWDLD | 2.20 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Real Estelí | DWLDD | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Real Estelí 4–1 Walter Ferretti
- 16 Apr 2026 · Real Estelí 2–4 Walter Ferretti
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Real Estelí Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Division matches that day
- Rancho Santana vs Diriangén · 19 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - H&H Export vs Jalapa · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 · FT 1–4