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Primera Division · Nicaragua
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Walter Ferretti host Jalapa in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Walter Ferretti Win — Walter Ferretti to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Walter Ferretti 2–2 Jalapa.
Going into the match, Walter Ferretti had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Jalapa had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Walter Ferretti's last 10 and 4 of Jalapa's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Walter Ferretti averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Jalapa averaged 1.50 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Walter Ferretti and 1.37 from Jalapa. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 30%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Walter Ferretti (green) and Jalapa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Ferretti | LDLLW | 1.20 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Jalapa | LDLLL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jul 2026 · Jalapa 1–0 Walter Ferretti
- 30 Apr 2026 · Jalapa 3–0 Walter Ferretti
- 26 Apr 2026 · Jalapa 1–1 Walter Ferretti
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Walter Ferretti Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.