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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk vs Emmen prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Waalwijk host Emmen in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Waalwijk 1–1 Emmen.
Going into the match, Waalwijk had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Emmen had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Waalwijk's last 10 and 5 of Emmen's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Waalwijk averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Emmen averaged 1.57 scored and 3.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Waalwijk and 1.39 from Emmen. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Waalwijk (green) and Emmen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Waalwijk 5–0 Emmen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Waalwijk Win | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.