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Ligue 2 · Algeria
WA Mostaganem vs Tiaret prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
WA Mostaganem host Tiaret in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — WA Mostaganem to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: WA Mostaganem 3–1 Tiaret.
Going into the match, WA Mostaganem had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Tiaret had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of WA Mostaganem's last 7 and 5 of Tiaret's last 7; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home WA Mostaganem averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Tiaret averaged 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from WA Mostaganem and 1.22 from Tiaret. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 24%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between WA Mostaganem (green) and Tiaret (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WA Mostaganem | LDLLW | 1.14 | 1.86 | 43% | 86% |
| Tiaret | DLLLW | 1.14 | 1.71 | 71% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Apr 2026 · WA Mostaganem 3–0 Tiaret
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| WA Mostaganem Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| WA Mostaganem HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.