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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo vs Roda prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VVV Venlo host Roda in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: VVV Venlo 2–0 Roda.
Going into the match, VVV Venlo had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 18. Roda had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of VVV Venlo's last 10 and 4 of Roda's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VVV Venlo averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Roda averaged 1.80 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from VVV Venlo and 1.29 from Roda. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VVV Venlo (green) and Roda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.