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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Vvsb vs Blauw Geel prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vvsb host Blauw Geel in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vvsb 0–2 Blauw Geel.
Going into the match, Vvsb had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Blauw Geel had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Vvsb's last 10 and 6 of Blauw Geel's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vvsb averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Blauw Geel averaged 0.88 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Vvsb and 1.20 from Blauw Geel. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 53%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vvsb (green) and Blauw Geel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | LLWWL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Blauw Geel | DLWWD | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Vvsb Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Vvsb HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.