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Cup · Croatia

Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.80Market probability 51%Final score 0–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Vukovar host Dinamo Zagreb in the Cup (Croatia) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Vukovar 0–4 Dinamo Zagreb.

Going into the match, Vukovar had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 21. Dinamo Zagreb had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Vukovar's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vukovar averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dinamo Zagreb averaged 3.00 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Vukovar and 4.39 from Dinamo Zagreb. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 7% and an away win at 89%, against 7%, 12% and 81% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Vukovar (green) and Dinamo Zagreb (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head25% – 75%
Goals23% – 77%
Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
VukovarLLWWD1.902.1070%50%
Dinamo ZagrebWDLWW2.201.4060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Dinamo Zagreb 1st Half Win64%1.40
Dinamo Zagreb HT & FT63%1.50
2nd Half Higher Goals57%2.05
BTTS No51%1.80
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals51%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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