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4. liga - Divizie F · Czech Republic

Vratimov vs Pustá Polom prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 08:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 4–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Vratimov host Pustá Polom in the 4. liga - Divizie F (Czech Republic) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Vratimov 4–3 Pustá Polom.

Going into the match, Vratimov had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Pustá Polom had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Vratimov's last 10 and 7 of Pustá Polom's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vratimov averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pustá Polom averaged 1.00 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.56 goals from Vratimov and 1.20 from Pustá Polom. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 67%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Vratimov (green) and Pustá Polom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form69% – 31%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence55% – 45%
Head-to-head75% – 25%
Goals62% – 38%
Overall strength67% – 32%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
VratimovLWWWL2.001.4080%90%
Pustá PolomDLWLL1.502.0070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 2.5 Goals66%1.40
Vratimov Win62%1.33
BTTS Yes62%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals54%1.71
Vratimov HT & FT47%1.95
2-19%10.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 4. liga - Divizie F matches that day