Volna vs Smorgon prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Volna Stadium, Pinsk

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Volna host Smorgon in the 1. Division (Belarus) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Volna had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Smorgon had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Volna's last 10 and 3 of Smorgon's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Volna averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Smorgon averaged 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Volna and 1.74 from Smorgon. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 46%, against 43%, 24% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Volna (green) and Smorgon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%

Attack45% – 55%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals35% – 65%

Overall strength35% – 64%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Volna	WLDLL	0.80	2.20	50%	60%
Smorgon	LWWWL	1.20	1.10	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

5 Jul 2026 · Smorgon 1–3 Volna

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	70%	1.31
Double Chance 1X	66%	1.35
BTTS Yes	63%	1.44
Over 2.5 Goals	62%	1.48
Under 3.5 Goals	61%	1.51
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	53%	1.74
Volna Win	43%	2.11
Over 3.5 Goals	39%	2.32

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.