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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Volgar Astrakhan host Novosibirsk in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Volgar Astrakhan 1–1 Novosibirsk.
Going into the match, Volgar Astrakhan had won 1, drawn 8 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Novosibirsk had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Volgar Astrakhan's last 10 and 5 of Novosibirsk's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Volgar Astrakhan averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Novosibirsk averaged 1.21 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Volgar Astrakhan and 1.07 from Novosibirsk. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 33%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Volgar Astrakhan (green) and Novosibirsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volgar Astrakhan | DDDDD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Novosibirsk | WWWDL | 1.50 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Novosibirsk 2–2 Volgar Astrakhan
- 13 Jun 2026 · Volgar Astrakhan 1–1 Novosibirsk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.