Home › League stats › Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D › Vitoria Setubal vs Real
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Real prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vitoria Setubal host Real in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Vitoria Setubal to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Vitoria Setubal 1–1 Real.
Going into the match, Vitoria Setubal had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Real had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Vitoria Setubal's last 5 and 5 of Real's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vitoria Setubal averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Real averaged 2.67 scored and 0.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Vitoria Setubal and 1.91 from Real. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 48%. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vitoria Setubal (green) and Real (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria Setubal | WDWLL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Real | WDWDW | 2.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.