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3. liga - MSFL · Czech Republic
Vítkovice vs Karviná II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vítkovice host Karviná II in the 3. liga - MSFL (Czech Republic) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vítkovice 0–4 Karviná II.
Going into the match, Vítkovice had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Karviná II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Vítkovice's last 10 and 5 of Karviná II's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vítkovice averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Karviná II averaged 0.92 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Vítkovice and 0.95 from Karviná II. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vítkovice (green) and Karviná II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vítkovice | LWDLD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 30% | 40% |
| Karviná II | LDLLW | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Vítkovice Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Vítkovice HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.