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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse vs NAC Breda prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vitesse host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vitesse 2–2 NAC Breda.
Going into the match, Vitesse had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. NAC Breda had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vitesse's last 10 and 8 of NAC Breda's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vitesse averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home NAC Breda averaged 1.60 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Vitesse and 1.17 from NAC Breda. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 32%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vitesse (green) and NAC Breda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.