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Serie D - Girone B · Italy
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Virtus Verona prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo host Virtus Verona in the Serie D - Girone B (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3–0 Virtus Verona.
Going into the match, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Virtus Verona had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo's last 9 and 6 of Virtus Verona's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Virtus Ciserano Bergamo averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Virtus Verona averaged 1.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and 0.92 from Virtus Verona. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 27%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (green) and Virtus Verona (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | DLDDW | 1.44 | 1.11 | 67% | 33% |
| Virtus Verona | LWDWD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Virtus Verona Win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.48 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.