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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany
Vilzing vs Buchbach prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vilzing host Buchbach in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vilzing 1–1 Buchbach.
Going into the match, Vilzing had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Buchbach had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vilzing's last 10 and 6 of Buchbach's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vilzing averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Buchbach averaged 1.55 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Vilzing and 1.63 from Buchbach. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 33%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vilzing (green) and Buchbach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Vilzing 3–0 Buchbach
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| Double Chance X2 | 67% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.01 |
| Buchbach Win | 43% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.