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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain
Villaverde Norte vs Mensajero prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villaverde Norte host Mensajero in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Mensajero to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Villaverde Norte 1–2 Mensajero.
Going into the match, Villaverde Norte had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Mensajero had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Villaverde Norte's last 3 and 1 of Mensajero's last 10; 1 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villaverde Norte averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Mensajero averaged 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Villaverde Norte and 1.35 from Mensajero. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villaverde Norte (green) and Mensajero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaverde Norte | LDL | 0.67 | 2.00 | 67% | 33% |
| Mensajero | WLWDW | 0.80 | 0.50 | 10% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.