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La Liga · Spain
Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villarreal host Espanyol in the La Liga (Spain) on 30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Villarreal Win — Villarreal to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Villarreal had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Espanyol had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Villarreal's last 10 and 8 of Espanyol's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Espanyol averaged 1.54 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Villarreal and 1.03 from Espanyol. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 16%, against 66%, 19% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villarreal (green) and Espanyol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | WWLDW | 2.20 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
| Espanyol | DLLDL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Villarreal Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.