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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Villarreal II vs Ibiza prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villarreal II host Ibiza in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villarreal II 0–1 Ibiza.
Going into the match, Villarreal II had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Ibiza had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Villarreal II's last 10 and 6 of Ibiza's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal II averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ibiza averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Villarreal II and 1.34 from Ibiza. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villarreal II (green) and Ibiza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | WDWWW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Ibiza | LLWWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Villarreal II 0–0 Ibiza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.