Villalbés vs Estradense prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Villalbés host Estradense in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Villalbés to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Villalbés 1–2 Estradense.

Going into the match, Villalbés had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Estradense had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Villalbés's last 10 and 7 of Estradense's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villalbés averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Estradense averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Villalbés and 1.48 from Estradense. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Villalbés (green) and Estradense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Villalbés form and statistics
• Estradense form and statistics
• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics