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Serie D - Girone B · Italy
Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villa Valle host Fiorenzuola in the Serie D - Girone B (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villa Valle 0–0 Fiorenzuola.
Going into the match, Villa Valle had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Fiorenzuola had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6, with 1 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Villa Valle's last 9 and 1 of Fiorenzuola's last 6; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villa Valle averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Fiorenzuola averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Villa Valle and 0.37 from Fiorenzuola. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 12%, against 49%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villa Valle (green) and Fiorenzuola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | WLDDD | 1.11 | 1.44 | 89% | 56% |
| Fiorenzuola | DLLLL | 0.17 | 1.33 | 17% | 17% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Villa Valle Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Villa Valle HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.