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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villa Mitre host Costa Brava in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Villa Mitre Win — Villa Mitre to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villa Mitre 2–0 Costa Brava.
Going into the match, Villa Mitre had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Costa Brava had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Villa Mitre's last 10 and 6 of Costa Brava's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villa Mitre averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Costa Brava averaged 0.73 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Villa Mitre and 0.43 from Costa Brava. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 12%, against 64%, 26% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villa Mitre (green) and Costa Brava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Mitre | DDLWD | 0.90 | 0.80 | 30% | 20% |
| Costa Brava | DWWDL | 1.20 | 0.80 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Costa Brava 1–1 Villa Mitre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Villa Mitre Win | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.