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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Villa Dalmine vs Liniers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villa Dalmine host Liniers in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villa Dalmine 1–1 Liniers.
Going into the match, Villa Dalmine had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Liniers had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Villa Dalmine's last 10 and 5 of Liniers's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villa Dalmine averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Liniers averaged 0.80 scored and 1.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Villa Dalmine and 0.70 from Liniers. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 25%, against 51%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Dalmine | LDWLL | 0.60 | 0.80 | 10% | 20% |
| Liniers | WLLWD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Liniers 1–0 Villa Dalmine
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Villa Dalmine Win | 49% | 1.75 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 39% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.