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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Vilassar Mar vs Europa II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vilassar Mar host Europa II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vilassar Mar 1–6 Europa II.
Going into the match, Vilassar Mar had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Europa II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Vilassar Mar's last 10 and 3 of Europa II's last 9; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vilassar Mar averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Europa II averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Vilassar Mar and 1.39 from Europa II. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 34%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vilassar Mar (green) and Europa II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | LLLWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Europa II | WDLDL | 1.33 | 1.67 | 33% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Vilassar Mar Win | 38% | 2.40 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.