Home › League stats › Serie B › Vila Nova vs Cuiaba
Serie B · Brazil
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vila Nova host Cuiaba in the Serie B (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Vila Nova to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vila Nova 0–0 Cuiaba.
Going into the match, Vila Nova had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Cuiaba had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Vila Nova's last 10 and 4 of Cuiaba's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vila Nova averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Cuiaba averaged 0.81 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Vila Nova and 0.67 from Cuiaba. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 19%, against 44%, 32% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vila Nova (green) and Cuiaba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Cuiaba 1–0 Vila Nova
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Vila Nova Win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.