Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.70Market probability 56%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Viking host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad.

Going into the match, Viking had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 11. Fredrikstad had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Viking's last 10 and 6 of Fredrikstad's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Viking averaged 3.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fredrikstad averaged 1.50 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Viking and 0.77 from Fredrikstad. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Viking (green) and Fredrikstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form68% – 32%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength72% – 27%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Viking	DWWWW	2.90	1.10	70%	80%
Fredrikstad	DDWDL	1.90	0.70	60%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Apr 2026 · Fredrikstad 1–2 Viking

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Viking Win	74%	1.27
Viking 1st Half Win	57%	1.62
BTTS Yes	56%	1.70
Viking HT & FT	55%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.