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Serie D - Girone F · Italy
Vigor Senigallia vs Atletico Ascoli prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vigor Senigallia host Atletico Ascoli in the Serie D - Girone F (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Vigor Senigallia to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Vigor Senigallia 1–2 Atletico Ascoli.
Going into the match, Vigor Senigallia had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 19. Atletico Ascoli had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Vigor Senigallia's last 10 and 5 of Atletico Ascoli's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vigor Senigallia averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Atletico Ascoli averaged 0.86 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Vigor Senigallia and 1.50 from Atletico Ascoli. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vigor Senigallia (green) and Atletico Ascoli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | LDWWW | 2.40 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
| Atletico Ascoli | LLWDW | 0.80 | 1.40 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Vigor Senigallia 2–2 Atletico Ascoli