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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Victoria Września host Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Victoria Września 1–0 Grom Nowy Staw.
Going into the match, Victoria Września had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Grom Nowy Staw had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Victoria Września's last 10 and 8 of Grom Nowy Staw's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Victoria Września averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Grom Nowy Staw averaged 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Victoria Września and 1.89 from Grom Nowy Staw. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 51%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Victoria Września (green) and Grom Nowy Staw (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Września | DDDDD | 0.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Grom Nowy Staw | LWWLD | 2.60 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Victoria Września Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.