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Liga 3 · Portugal
Vianense vs Paredes prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vianense host Paredes in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Paredes to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vianense 3–3 Paredes.
Going into the match, Vianense had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Paredes had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Vianense's last 10 and 7 of Paredes's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vianense averaged 3.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Paredes averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Vianense and 1.80 from Paredes. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 38%, against 26%, 28% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Paredes Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.