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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg W vs Hamburger SV W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VfL Wolfsburg W host Hamburger SV W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is VfL Wolfsburg W 1st Half Win — VfL Wolfsburg W 1st Half Win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: VfL Wolfsburg W 2–1 Hamburger SV W.
Going into the match, VfL Wolfsburg W had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 10. Hamburger SV W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of VfL Wolfsburg W's last 10 and 6 of Hamburger SV W's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfL Wolfsburg W averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Hamburger SV W averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.18 goals from VfL Wolfsburg W and 0.96 from Hamburger SV W. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 7%, against 83%, 10% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VfL Wolfsburg W (green) and Hamburger SV W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W | WWWLW | 3.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Hamburger SV W | WWLDL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W HT & FT | 66% | 1.44 |
| VfL Wolfsburg W 1st Half Win | 65% | 1.40 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 57% | 2.05 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 3-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.