Home › League stats › 2. Bundesliga › VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VfL Bochum host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: VfL Bochum 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld.
Going into the match, VfL Bochum had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Arminia Bielefeld had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of VfL Bochum's last 10 and 8 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfL Bochum averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Arminia Bielefeld averaged 3.00 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from VfL Bochum and 1.20 from Arminia Bielefeld. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 34%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VfL Bochum (green) and Arminia Bielefeld (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | WLDWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | DDLDL | 1.90 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.