Home › League stats › Friendlies Clubs › VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Friendlies Clubs · International
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VfB Stuttgart host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is VfB Stuttgart Win — VfB Stuttgart to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Going into the match, VfB Stuttgart had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. SpVgg Greuther Fürth had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10 and 8 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SpVgg Greuther Fürth averaged 1.55 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.43 goals from VfB Stuttgart and 1.02 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 67%, 18% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VfB Stuttgart (green) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | WLLWW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | DDLWL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.