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Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, VfB Stuttgart had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 7. Borussia Mönchengladbach had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10 and 6 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 2.57 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.77 goals from VfB Stuttgart and 1.28 from Borussia Mönchengladbach. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 15%, against 68%, 19% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VfB Stuttgart (green) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | DLWWW | 2.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | LLDWL | 1.90 | 2.20 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 69% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| VfB Stuttgart HT & FT | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.