VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.37Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

VfB Lübeck host Werder Bremen II in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, VfB Lübeck had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Werder Bremen II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of VfB Lübeck's last 10 and 6 of Werder Bremen II's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfB Lübeck averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Werder Bremen II averaged 2.00 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from VfB Lübeck and 1.08 from Werder Bremen II. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between VfB Lübeck (green) and Werder Bremen II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form76% – 24%

Attack65% – 35%

Defence69% – 31%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals22% – 78%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
VfB Lübeck	WWDWW	1.80	1.50	90%	70%
Werder Bremen II	LWLDL	1.60	1.90	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	73%	1.25
Double Chance 1X	68%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.37
BTTS Yes	59%	1.55
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	57%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.63
VfB Lübeck Win	45%	2.06
Under 2.5 Goals	44%	2.08

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.