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Ligue 3 · France
Versailles vs Valenciennes prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Versailles host Valenciennes in the Ligue 3 (France) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Versailles 1–0 Valenciennes.
Going into the match, Versailles had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Valenciennes had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Versailles's last 10 and 6 of Valenciennes's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Versailles averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Valenciennes averaged 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Versailles and 0.95 from Valenciennes. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Versailles (green) and Valenciennes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versailles | WDWLL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 50% | 80% |
| Valenciennes | WLLDD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Valenciennes 1–0 Versailles
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Versailles Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.