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Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Veres Rivne host Shakhtar Donetsk in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Veres Rivne 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Going into the match, Veres Rivne had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Shakhtar Donetsk had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Veres Rivne's last 10 and 3 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Veres Rivne averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 2.18 scored and 0.88 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.52 goals from Veres Rivne and 1.84 from Shakhtar Donetsk. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 69%, against 9%, 20% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Veres Rivne (green) and Shakhtar Donetsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | WDWDW | 1.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | WWWWD | 2.20 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1st Half Win | 53% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.