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J2 League · Japan
Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ventforet Kofu host Tochigi City in the J2 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ventforet Kofu 2–1 Tochigi City.
Going into the match, Ventforet Kofu had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Tochigi City had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ventforet Kofu's last 10 and 6 of Tochigi City's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ventforet Kofu averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Tochigi City averaged 1.00 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Ventforet Kofu and 1.73 from Tochigi City. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 53%, against 31%, 28% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ventforet Kofu (green) and Tochigi City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventforet Kofu | LLLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 80% |
| Tochigi City | LLLLL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.