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J2 League · Japan
Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ventforet Kofu host Kataller Toyama in the J2 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ventforet Kofu 1–2 Kataller Toyama.
Going into the match, Ventforet Kofu had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Kataller Toyama had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ventforet Kofu's last 10 and 4 of Kataller Toyama's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ventforet Kofu averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Kataller Toyama averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Ventforet Kofu and 1.96 from Kataller Toyama. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 60%, against 21%, 26% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ventforet Kofu (green) and Kataller Toyama (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventforet Kofu | LLLLW | 1.00 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Kataller Toyama | LDWDW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Kataller Toyama Win | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.