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Serie A · Italy
Venezia vs Udinese prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Venezia host Udinese in the Serie A (Italy) on 6 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Venezia had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Udinese had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Venezia's last 10 and 6 of Udinese's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Venezia averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Udinese averaged 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Venezia and 1.28 from Udinese. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Venezia (green) and Udinese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Udinese 2–1 Venezia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.