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1. Division · Denmark
Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vendsyssel FF host HB Koge in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vendsyssel FF 0–2 HB Koge.
Going into the match, Vendsyssel FF had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. HB Koge had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vendsyssel FF's last 10 and 5 of HB Koge's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vendsyssel FF averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home HB Koge averaged 0.92 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Vendsyssel FF and 1.13 from HB Koge. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vendsyssel FF (green) and HB Koge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vendsyssel FF | LDLDL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| HB Koge | WDDDD | 1.10 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.