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Premijer Liga · Bosnia
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Velež host Siroki Brijeg in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Velež to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Velež 0–0 Siroki Brijeg.
Going into the match, Velež had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Siroki Brijeg had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Velež's last 10 and 8 of Siroki Brijeg's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velež averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Siroki Brijeg averaged 1.00 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Velež and 1.11 from Siroki Brijeg. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 38%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Velež (green) and Siroki Brijeg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | LWLDL | 0.60 | 1.80 | 30% | 40% |
| Siroki Brijeg | LDLLD | 1.40 | 1.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Velež 3–0 Siroki Brijeg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Velež Win | 43% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.