Velež vs Borac Banja Luka prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Borac Banja Luka WinOdds 1.57Market probability 57%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Velež host Borac Banja Luka in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Borac Banja Luka Win — Borac Banja Luka to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Velež had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 17. Borac Banja Luka had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Velež's last 10 and 6 of Borac Banja Luka's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velež averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Borac Banja Luka averaged 1.75 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from Velež and 1.70 from Borac Banja Luka. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 60%, against 17%, 26% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Velež (green) and Borac Banja Luka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%

Attack27% – 73%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals36% – 64%

Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Velež	DLWLD	0.60	1.70	30%	40%
Borac Banja Luka	LWDWW	1.80	1.20	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Aug 2026 · Borac Banja Luka 3–1 Velež
18 Apr 2026 · Borac Banja Luka 2–2 Velež

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.43
Borac Banja Luka Win	58%	1.57
BTTS No	56%	1.63
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.65
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.20
Borac Banja Luka HT & FT	39%	2.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.