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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC · Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is San Lorenzo Under 1.5 Goals — San Lorenzo Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Velez Sarsfield had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. San Lorenzo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Velez Sarsfield's last 10 and 2 of San Lorenzo's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velez Sarsfield averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home San Lorenzo averaged 0.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Velez Sarsfield and 0.50 from San Lorenzo. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 12%, against 48%, 31% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Velez Sarsfield (green) and San Lorenzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | WWLDW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| San Lorenzo | DWWLL | 0.60 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · San Lorenzo 0–0 Velez Sarsfield
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Velez Sarsfield Win | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Velez Sarsfield form and statistics
- San Lorenzo form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba · 1 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50