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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Platense.
Going into the match, Velez Sarsfield had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Platense had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Velez Sarsfield's last 10 and 5 of Platense's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velez Sarsfield averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Platense averaged 1.18 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Velez Sarsfield and 0.79 from Platense. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 20%, against 50%, 32% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Velez Sarsfield (green) and Platense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | WDWDD | 1.40 | 0.90 | 70% | 30% |
| Platense | WLWLL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Velez Sarsfield Win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.